Real Madrid – Lazio

This will be a big match on this midweek from the Champions League competition. Lazio should win this match with 2 goals margin here, this is only way for them to qualify from Group C to the knock out rout this season. If they only win only 1 goal here, they will hopeless from match Olympiakos and Bremen (Olympiakos amust get 3 points here). The question is Can Lazio win over Real Madrid at Santiago Bernabeu? From the history match record, Lazio have 13 times faced with Spanish team in all competition. But the result when they travel to Spain in 5 times, Lazio only win 1 match and others match they have beaten there (but that victory they get at Madrid when Vladimir Jugovic make a goal at 1997/19998 when they faced Atletico Madrid).

In doubt, Lazio win over Madrid at Santiago Bernabeu. In domestic league Real Madrid makes perfect record here. Bremen has beaten by El Real 2-1 and Olympiakos defeated there 4-2. And if we see for Lazio performance this season on their domestic league, they has present very disappointed performance (Lazio still try to find a best formation so far).

Head to head:

03-10-07 Lazio 2-2 Madrid

21-02-01 Lazio 2-2 Madrid

13-02-01 Madrid 3-2 Lazio

Analysis:

Although Madrid has a weakness at they defense sector, but they still have a very dangerous tactic when their attack. With Sergio Ramos and Marcelo often to help frontline sector from wing side when their attack make pressure from Madrid at frontline being dangerous. Madrid always use wing sector to make pressure, but they variation on the middle also good (we can see Robinho and Sneijder as they winger players always comes to middle to make assist). And they also have Guti as the playmaker and make attack from left, right and front side is the favorite’s one for him. And he always makes a surprise assist so far. And his partners Diarra very like to be middle defensive player to help defense line. And don’t forget for they striker like Nistelroy and Raul (both of this players make me impressive when they didn’t get chance they will play at the middle, and they possible give assist for the second front line).

And for Lazio, I think all the footballers know Lazio has a weak goalkeeper. And these conditions make Dello Rossi as they architect to build a solid defense sector in this team. Two Lazio’s side back didn’t play like side back from Real Madrid. At the middle line, Mudingayi should play as long as attractive there; he must play hardness, his defensive skill is very important to hold pressure from Madrid. I think Lazio didn’t want Mudingayi play to front line on this fixture because his will possible make overlapping and make a hole for middle line. Two his partners in middle line, Cristian Ledesma and Fabio Firmani will possible to more at the middle front line (Lazio really need full 3 points here), and this tactic perhaps will help Mauri to give assist for Pandev and Rocchi and front line. Tommaso Rocchi and Goran Pandev should play more attractive here, and if their held by defenders from Real Madrid, I think they should make speculation to make goals from wide sector or away from penalty sector.

Anyway, I am sure Madrid didn’t want beaten at Bernabeu and they also have a very high quality players from all lines. And a classical problem from Madrid, they always conceded at the first 30 minutes game start. And if they star players to domination and highly ego here, I am sure will broke up they tactic. Real Madrid has beaten at only once this season, and 2 last matches at Santiago El Real always getting 3 points. And also in their domestic league this season Los Blancos is unbeaten team from the last 7 matches available. Madrid has great mentality when their at home, and all team at Europe knows this record, in 4 matches at Bernabeu Stadium, Madrid always get 3 points.

And for me Lazio they collectivity last season will possible to rise again here. And they always make a unpredicted style. But, make me not sure for them to get full points here, they didn’t have highly mentality at European Competition likes Madrid have. And they also have a bad away record until this time.

Madrid has a big chance to beat Lazio on this fixture, if we see from the away record and Lazio’s performance at they domestic league is unhappiness result. From the last 7 previews matches available fir them, Lazio has beaten in 3 matches, and only 1 game they can get victory, and last midweek they has beaten by Internazionale in they home base 0-3.

I will put 55% for Madrid to win this match, 25% this match will end with draw result, and 25% for Lazio to win. And my opinion Madrid will lose at the first half, and they will make revenge and win at second half match, this means HT/FT (Lazio/Madrid), and the score maybe 2-1 for Madrid.

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Schalke – Rosenborg

Schalke will very welcomes for they opponent this midweek from Norwegian Rosenborg. I think all bookmakers make Schalke as the favorite team to win here. When Schalke play away at the first leg, they success win over Rosenberg 2 goals without conceded. Schalke have better players in all line than Rosenborg. Especially at the middle sector they has Ernst and Jonas (make impressive for me), because they really like to do straight shoot from outside of penalty area to make score. And they have side back like Westermann and Rafinha with great stamina I think. But they have weakness and play bad if they opponent play with speed tactic.

And for Rosenborg, they have Iversen who the guy always gives dangerous straight ball to the front players. Another good value, they also have good goalkeeper like Hirschfeld and his play always consistent. But they weakness always at the emotion of they center players, in this sector they always make tackling at the dangerous sector. And they also will difficult if they opponent play with long ball tactic.

By the way, I didn’t want give more comments for this match. Both of team has a strong value weak value for me. And Schalke factor when they really not to win this match (only draw) will make this match not too interest to watch. I will go with draw result for this match with percentage 50% for Schalke and 50% for Rosenborg on this fixture.

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Porto – Besiktas

FC Porto has a big chance to qualify to the knock out round of Champions League. In the 6^th matchday this midweek Os Dragoes only need minimal draw result when they play with Besiktas. If they success to play draw in this fixture (9 points they collected) make them survive here as a runner up from Group A. If Porto wins here, they will be a leader in their group, and make a chance for them to play home in second leg on the next round. I think they target to win this fixture is realistic. Although they has beaten by Liverpool on the 5^th match, but they can held The Reds 1-1 until minutes 78^th, and that being they first loss in Group round.

Porto more better team than Besiktas in this season, but Besiktas also will play full aggressive here. They squad will be enthusiasm because they know, if they want to qualify they should play in great performance here (they should win this match if they want to qualify). For me, Besiktas also has good running team in Group A. They success get 3 points from Liverpool and Marseile with scored 2-1. This record game will make them full confident for this fixture. I think Saglam has learned something special when they have beaten by Porto at the first meet.

Last match this team clash, Porto can get 3 points in their away.

03/10/07 Besiktas 0-1 Porto

Analysis:

Porto has good quality individual players than Besiktas, and on this game they play in front of they fans. This item can be good values for them. But, if they players playing to easy here because they all know they not should be win on this match will make them play more defensive I guess. And for Besiktas, they player Rogerio Da Silva “Bobo” still in good performance on this match. And I am sure all they players will very enthusiasm to plying good here and make them qualify to the knocked out round. The bad news from Besiktas, they will be without Ricardinho here because injured problem. And the record game when they loss in front of they fans, possibility make they mentality a little bit unstable here.

My prediction, this is will be a very interest match to watch and of course a tight game to make predict. I will put 50% for Porto and 50% for Besiktas in this fixture. And this means the full time result is draw for me. I guess the score is 1-1. And Porto Qualify.

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Olympiakos – Bremen

Another match from Group C at the Champions League competition, Olympiakos will clash with Bremen this midweek. Olympiakos only need play draw here, and I think from a logical value this will possible they get because this match will play at their home. But I think, a minimal target always make home side failed to survive to the next round in the football competitions this year (still remain England failed to qualify to the final round of Euro 2008).

Olympiakos has good record when play a match in their home base, they is unbeaten team so far. And also they have a player like Galleti who the man always and often I think makes a score from second line. Another good value for home side, they substitutes on the bench have same skill with starting eleven. But if they still make a minimal target to play draw here will make them didn’t play too offensive and this will be a chance for they opponent Bremen. And I think they goalkeeper Nikopolodis always make a blunder at the dangerous situation and wrong to anticipate the ball.

For Bremen as the guest, they have Sanogo. I see Sanogo still in the great performance and mentality on this month, and they also have another good playmaker Diego, to make good vision for they team. And the good news from Bremen side, they goalkeeper Wiese has returned into this match. Anyway, make me a little bit doubt for this Germany team, they have a bad record when they play away from home (beaten in 2 games at Champions League competition). And if they playmaker Diego didn’t present a good performance, they playing style being bad.

I will put the percentage here, with 55% for Olympiakos to win and 45% for Bremen. So, my choice is Olympiakos will win this match with small goal margin. Maybe 2-1 will be the end score for this fixture.

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